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通知:上课时间周四晚7:00,地点
:经济学院D104
1、教材:John Cochrane, Asset Pricing, Princeton
Press, 2001.
2、typos.pdf(最新的勘误表,2005.10)
3、John
Cochrane's website
4、课件:
1)第一章:AP1.ppt
阅读:
A.
continuous_time_review.pdf(相关知识)
B.
time_series_book.pdf(相关知识)
C.关于效用理论,请看John
Compbellutilitytheorynotes091505.pdf
D.John Compbell关于随机贴现因子的讲义sdfnotes101005.pdf
2)第20、20章:新金融理论与事实
new facts.ppt new
facts.pdf
3)讲座:金融市场与经济
asset pricing.ppt(新) 主讲:郑振龙
4)第二章:AP2.ppt
5)第三章:AP3.ppt
阅读:
Hansen, Lars Peter and Scott F. Richard, 1987, “The Role of Conditioning
Information in Deducing Testable Restrictions Implied by Dynamic Asset
Pricing Models” Econometrica 55, 587-613.
This is the paper that sets out all of the state space stuff, and the
conditional vs. unconditional mean variance frontier. It has all the
assumptions and the proofs. Very dense, and I mean that as a compliment.
6) 第四章:AP4.ppt
7)第五章:AP5.ppt
8) 第六章:AP6.PPT
9) 第七章:AP7.ppt
10)第八章:AP8.PPT
11)第九章:AP9.ppt
12)GMM:Lecture_GMM.pdf
13)第十章:AP10.pdf
14)第十一章:AP11.pdf
15)第十二章:AP12.pdf
16)第十三章:AP13.pdf
17)第十四章:AP14.pdf
18)第十五章:AP15.pdf
19)第十六章:AP16.pdf
5、Reading list:
1)必读材料
A.asset pricing at
the millennium.pdf.
B.Financial
Markets and the Real Economy Revised August 2005. This review will
introduce a volume by the same title in the Edward Elgar series "The
International Library of Critical Writings in Financial Economics" edited by
Richard Roll. Everything you wanted to know, but didn’t have time to read, about
equity premium, consumption-based models, investment-based models, general
equilibrium in asset pricing, labor income and idiosyncratic risk. New version
(Aug 2005) is more self-contained and better for reading if you don’t have the
volume articles in hand.
C.关于效用理论,请看John
Compbellutilitytheorynotes091505.pdf
D.John Compbell关于随机贴现因子的讲义sdfnotes101005.pdf
E.John Compbell关于组合选择与资产定价的讲义portfoliochoicenotes092605.pdf
F.John Compbell关于现值关系的讲义presentvaluenotes101805.pdf
G.John Compbell开列的阅读清单Ec2723
Readings Fall 2005
H.Mehra:the
equity premium_why is a puzzle.pdf
2) Predictable returns and volatility in the time series
and cross section
A. Facts
New Facts in Finance
April 1999. This is a review essay of the transition from unpredictable returns
and CAPM to predictable returns and multifactor models. Economic Perspectives
XXIII (3) Third quarter 1999 (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago), also NBER
working paper 7169.
Asset Pricing Ch. 20, 21.
Jung,
Geeman, and Robert H. Shiller,
2002, “One
Simple Test of Samuelson’s Dictum for the Stock Market” NBER Working paper
9348
Cohen,
Randolph, Christopher Polk and Tuomo
Vuolteenaho, 2002, “The
Value Spread” forthcoming Journal of Finance
Cochrane,
John H. and Monika Piazzesi “Bond
Risk Premia” Manuscript,
University of Chicago and UCLA
Ribiero, Ruy “Predictable
dividends and returns” Manuscript, University of Chicago
Lamont,
Owen, 1998, “Earnings
and Expected Returns,” Journal of Finance 53
B. Models and explanations
Lettau, Martin and Syney
Ludvigson, 2001, “Resurrecting
the (C)CAPM.” Journal of Political Economy 109: 1238-1287
Breannan, Michael, Yihong
Xia and Ashley Wang, 2002
Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing and the
Fama-French Three-Factor Model Manuscript UCLA
and Wharton.
Gomes,
Joao, Leonid Kogan and Lu Zhang, “Equilibrium
Cross Section of Returns” Forthcoming, Journal of Political Economy
Menzly, Lior, Jesus
Santos and Pietro Veronesi,
2002, “The
time series of the cross section of asset prices” Manuscript University of
Chicago
Longstaff Francis, and Monika
Piazzesi 2002, “Corporate
Earnings and the Equity Premium” Manuscript, UCLA
3)Consumption-based asset
pricing
A.
Representative agent models,
the equity premium puzzle,
and the equity volatility
puzzle
- Cochrane, Chapter
21.
- *Bansal,
Ravi and
Amir
Yaron, 2004,
�Risks
for the Long Run: A
Potential Resolution of
Asset Pricing Puzzles�,
Journal of Finance
59: 1481-1509.
-
Barro, Robert,
2006, �
Rare Disasters and Asset
Markets in the Twentieth
Century�,
Quarterly Journal of
Economics
121:823-866
- *Campbell, John Y.,
Consumption-Based Asset
Pricing, forthcoming
in George
Constantinides,
Milton Harris, and Rene
Stulz
eds., Handbook of the
Economics of Finance,
North-Holland, 2003.
Littauer
library reserve.
- *Campbell, John Y.
and John H. Cochrane,
1999,
By Force of Habit: A
Consumption-Based
Explanation of Aggregate
Stock Market Behavior,
Journal of Political
Economy 107:205-251.
-
Constantinides,
George, 1990,
Habit Formation: A
Resolution of the Equity
Premium Puzzle,
Journal of Political
Economy 98:519-543.
- [Epstein, Larry G.
and Stanley E.
Zin,
1991,
Substitution, Risk
Aversion,
and the Temporal
Behavior of Consumption
and Asset Returns: An
Empirical Analysis,
Journal of Political
Economy 99:263-286.]
-
Giovannini,
Alberto and
Phillipe Weil,
1989, �Risk
Aversion and
Intertemporal
Substitution in the
Capital Asset Pricing
Model� NBER, Working
Paper 2824
-
Lettau,
Martin, Sydney C.
Ludvigson,
and Jessica A.
Wachter,
2006, "The
Declining Equity
Premium: What Role Does
Macroeconomic Risk Play?",
forthcoming Review of
Financial Studies.
- *Martin, Ian, 2007,
�
Consumption-Based Asset
Pricing with Higher
Cumulants�,
unpublished paper,
Harvard University.
- [Mehra,
Rajnish
and Edward Prescott,
1985,
The
Equity Premium: A Puzzle,
Journal of Monetary
Economics
15:145-161.]
B.
Heterogeneous agents
-
Brav,
Alon,
George
Constantinides,
and Christopher
Geczy,
2002, "
Asset Pricing with
Heterogeneous Consumers
and Limited
Participation: Empirical
Evidence",
Journal of Political
Economy 110.
- *Constantinides,
George M. and Darrell
Duffie,
1996,
Asset Pricing with
Heterogeneous Consumers,
Journal of Political
Economy 104:219-240.
- *Constantinides,
George M., John B.
Donaldson, and
Rajnish
Mehra,
2002,
Junior Can't Borrow: A
New Perspective on the
Equity Premium Puzzle,
Quarterly Journal of
Economics
117:269-296.
- [Grossman, Sanford
J. and Robert J.
Shiller,
1982, "
Consumption
Correlatedness
and Risk Measurement in
Economies with
Non-Traded Assets and
Heterogeneous
Information",
Journal of Financial
Economics
10:195-210.]
-
Garleanu,
Nicolae and
Stavros
Panageas, 2007,
�Young, Old,
Conservative and Bold:
The Implications of
Heterogeneity and Finite
Lives for Asset
Pricing�, unpublished
paper, University of
Pennsylvania.
-
Kocherlakota,
Narayana and
Luigi
Pistaferri, 2007,
�Asset
Pricing Implications of
Pareto Optimality with
Private Information�,
unpublished paper,
Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis and Stanford
University.
-
Vissing-Jorgensen,
Annette, 2002, "
Limited Asset Market
Participation and the
Elasticity of
Intertemporal
Substitution",
Journal of Political
Economy 110:825-853.
C.
Consumption risk and the
cross-section of stock
returns
- Cochrane, John,
Francis
Longstaff, and
Pedro Santa-Clara, 2007,
�
Two Trees�,
forthcoming Review of
Financial Studies
-
Jagannathan,
Ravi and Yong
Wang, 2007, �
Lazy Investors,
Discretionary
Consumption, and the
Cross Section of Stock
Returns�, Journal
of Finance 62:
1623-1661.
-
Lettau, Martin,
and Sydney
Ludvigson, 2001,
�
Resurrecting the (C)CAPM:
A Cross-Sectional Test
when Risk
Premia are Time
Varying�, Journal
of Political Economy
109:1238-1286.
- *Parker, Jonathan
and Christian Julliard,
2005, �
Consumption Risk and
Cross-Sectional Returns�,
Journal of Political
Economy 113:185-222.
- *Yogo,
Motohiro, 2006, �
A Consumption-Based
Explanation of Expected
Stock Returns�,
Journal of Finance
61, 539-580.
4)Dynamic portfolio theory
A. Classics
Ingersoll, Jonathan E. Jr., Theory of Financial
Decision Making Ch. 4 Mean variance portfolio analysis, Ch 11 Discrete Time
Intertemporal Portfolio Selection Ch. 13 Continuous
Time Portfolio Selection
Duffie, Darrell, Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory. Ch8
(1st ed) or Chn 9 (3d ed) Optimal
Portfolio and Consumption Choice
(I hope these cover the classic references, more simply
than the originals:
Merton,
Robert C. 1971, Optimum Consumption and Portfolio Rules in a Continuous-Time
Model, Journal of Economic Theory 3, 373-413
Cox, John
C. and Chi-Fu Huang, Optimal Consumption and Portfolio Policies when Asset
Prices follow a Diffusion Process Journal of Economic Theory, 49, 33-83.
If not, we’ll read the originals too. )
Cuoco, Domenico, 1997.
“Optimal
Consumption and Equilibrium Prices with Portfolio Constraints and Stochastic
Income,” Journal of Economic Theory v72, n1 (January), 33-73.
B. A simple linear quadratic approximation.
Fama, Eugene F. 1996, “Multifactor
portfolio efficiency and multifactor asset pricing,” Journal of Financial
and Quantitative Analysis, 31 441-465
Cochrane, John, “Portfolio
Advice for a Multifactor World”
Economic
Perspectives
Federal Reserve
Bank of Chicago 23 (3) 59-78 (1999) (Revision of NBER Working Paper 7170)
C. Campbell’s approach to computing Merton problems
Campbell,
John Y. and Luis M. Viceira 1999,
Consumption and Portfolio Decisions when Expected Returns are Time Varying”
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 433-495
Campbell,
John Y. and Luis M. Viceira, 2000,
Consumption and Portfolio Decisions when Expected Returns are Time Varying:
Erratum" September
Cambpell, John Y, Yeung
Lewis Chan and Luis Viceira, 2003,
"A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation" NBER Working Paper No.
8566, October 2001, forthcoming Journal of Financial Economics, January
2003
D. Miscellanious new
portfolio theory
Barberis, Nicholas, 2000,
Investing for the Long Run when Returns are Predictable", Journal of
Finance, February.
Heaton,
John, and Deobrah Lucas 2000, “Portfolio
Chioce in the Presence of Background Risk” The
Economic Journal 110, 1-26
Mitchell,
Mark and Todd Pulvino, 2001, “Characteristics
of Risk and Return in Risk Arbitrage” Journal of Finance LVI 2135-2176
5) Liquidity and short sales constraints
A. Facts
Lamont,
Owen and Richard Thaler, “Can
the Market Add and Subtract? Mispricing in Tech
Stock Carve-Outs” Forthcoming Journal of Political Economy
Ofek, Eli and Matthew Richardson, “DotCom
Mania: the Rise and Fall of Internet Stock Prices” forthcoming Journal of
Finance
Cochrane,
John H., “Stock
as Money: Convenience Yield and the Tech-Stock Rollercoaster” NBER working
paper 8987
Longstaff, Francis, 2002, “The
flight to liquidity premium in US Treasury Bond
Prices,” NBER working paper 9312
Wurgler, Jeffrey, and Ekaterina
Zhurasvkaya, 2002, “Does
Arbitrage Flatten the Demand Curve for Stocks?” Journal of Business 75
583-608.
Pastor,
Lubos and Robert Stambaugh,
“Liquidity
Risk and Expected Stock Returns,” Forthcoming Journal of Political Economy
B. Models
Harrison,
J. Michael and David Kreps 1978, “Speculative
Investor Behavior in a Stock Market with Heterogeneous Expectations”
Quarterly Journal of Economics 92 323-336.
Duffie,
Darrell, Nicolae Garleanu
and Lasse Pedersen 2001, “Securities
Lending Shorting and Pricing,” Journal of Financial Economics, Forthcoming.
Scheinkman, Jose and Wei
Xiong, “Overconfidence
and Speculative Bubbles,” Manuscript, Princeton University
6)lecture notes for
empirical finance
7) paper
topic for phd students
8)其他论文:
Lucas, Robert E. Jr, 1978, “Asset Prices in An Exchange Economy’’ Econometrica
46, 1429-1455.
This is the famous paper that launched the consumption-based model and
endowment-economy framework.
Hansen, Lars Peter and Scott F. Richard, 1987, “The Role of Conditioning
Information in Deducing Testable Restrictions Implied by Dynamic Asset Pricing
Models” Econometrica 55, 587-613.
This is the paper that sets out all of the state space stuff, and the
conditional vs. unconditional mean variance frontier. It has all the assumptions
and the proofs. Very dense, and I mean that as a compliment.
Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982, “Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of
Moments Estimators” Econometrica 50, 1029-1054.
This paper has the GMM distribution theory and assumptions. Read along with
Ch. 11 of Asset Pricing
Hansen, Lars Peter, and Kenneth J. Singleton, 1982, “Generalized Instrumental
Variables Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models” Econometrical 50
1269-1286.
Errata to above
Applies GMM to the consumption-based model. The “how-to” paper accompanying
the last paper. The Errata tables are the right ones. Notice the equity premium
puzzle in the stock-bond estimation. Moral: plot your data.
"Was There a NASDAQ
Bubble in the Late 1990s?”
Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi, Chicago
"How Do Legal Differences
and Learning Affect Financial Contracts?"
Steven Kaplan, Chicago; Frederic Martel, IMD; and Per Strömberg, Chicago
"The Conditional
CAPM Does Not Explain Asset Pricing Anomalies"
Jon Lewellen, MIT, and Stefan Nagel, Harvard
"Disagreement,
Tastes, and Asset Pricing"
Eugene Fama, Chicago, and Kenneth French, Dartmouth
"Consumption
Strikes Back?"
Lars Peter Hansen, John Heaton, and Nan Li, Chicago
"Bond
Risk Premia"
John Cochrane and Monika Piazzesi, Chicago
"Agency
Costs of Overvalued Equity"
Michael Jensen, Harvard
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